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Active Management

Blackjack

Craps

How Much?

Lotteries

Luck

Odds of Success

Poker

Roulette

Skill?

Vigorish

Why?

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     My favorite book discussing gambling and investing is Fortune's Formula: The Untold Story of the Scientific Betting System That Beat the Casinos and Wall Street by William Poundstone. The book tells the stories of Edward Thorp and Claude Shannon. They studied casino games looking for advantages, before turning their attention to the investment markets. Shannon's portfolio had returns comparable to Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway. There is also an interview with Professor Thorp via NPR called The Quants': It Pays To Know Your Wall Street Math.

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Gary Karz, CFA
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